Packers vs Vikings Odds Week 17: Who Is Favored To Win This NFC North Rivalry?

Packers vs Vikings Odds: Who Is Favored To Win?

The Vikings are favored to win, per DraftKings Wisconsin. The Packers are currently 1-point underdogs to the Minnesota Vikings.

The sportsbooks have labeled the Vikings as 1-point favorites but the moneyline shows just how close this matchup is set to be, as the Vikings open at -115, while the Packers are very close behind at -105.

Latest Packers Vikings Odds, Updates, & News

Injuries have played a major role for both teams this season, and that will continue when they match up in Week 17. Kirk Cousins was lost for the season in the Vikings' last game vs. the Packers. Since then, the Vikings have started two different QBs and will start a third this week. While the Vikings will have Justin Jefferson this time around, they'll be without T.J. Hockenson.

Meanwhile, the Packers will be without Jaire Alexander, who is suspended for one game for conduct detrimental to the team, and AJ Dillon.

• 📅 Dec. 28: Vikings rookie Jaren Hall will start vs. the Packers, marking the fourth QB change for the Vikings this season.
• 📅 Dec. 27: The Packers suspend Jaire Alexander for one game after he crashed the team's coin toss vs. Carolina.
• 📅 Dec. 26: Vikings TE T.J. Hockenson will miss the rest of the 2023 season with a torn ACL and MCL.
• 📅 Dec. 12: The Vikings announce QB Nick Mullens will be the starter for Week 15. Josh Dobbs to moved to third-string QB.
• 📅 Dec. 11: packers RB AJ Dillon suffers a broken thumb vs. the Giants.
• 📅 Dec. 10: WR Justin Jefferson returns from injured reserve.
• 📅 Nov. 22: Packers rookie TE Luke Musgrave is placed on IR with a lacerated kidney.
• 📅 Nov. 5: Vikings RB Cam Akers tears his Achilles and is out for the rest of the season.
• 📅 Oct. 31: The Vikings trade for Cardinals QB Josh Dobbs, who started all 8 games for Arizona to start the season. Packers CB Rasul Douglas is traded to the Buffalo Bills.
• 📅 Oct. 29: Vikings QB Kirk Cousins tears his Achilles and is out for the rest of the season.
• 📅 Oct. 18: Vikings edge rusher Marcus Davenport is placed on injured reserve.
• 📅 Oct. 11: Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson is placed on injured reserve.
• 📅 Sept. 28: Packers OL David Bakhtiari is placed on injured reserve and he'll miss the rest of the 2023 season.
• 📅 July 30: Danielle Hunter and the Vikings reach agreement on new one-year deal worth up to $20 million.
• 📅 June 9: The Vikings release running back Dalvin Cook.
• 📅 May 16: The Vikings trade edge rusher Za'Darius Smith to the Browns.
• 📅 April 26: The Packers trade quarterback Aaron Rodgers to the Jets.

Packers Vikings Spread: What The Spread Tells Us

Both the Packers and the Vikings had a losing record against the spread in 2022, with the Packers (8-9) finishing slightly ahead of the Vikings (7-10-1).

The Vikings started the 2022 season as 2-point favorites against the Packers in Week 1 and won that matchup easily, defeating the Packers 23-7 for an easy win for Vikings straight bettors.

In Week 17, the Vikings opened as 3.5-point underdogs, despite having a much better record than the Packers. GB straight bettors left happy as the Packers trounced the Vikings 41-17 in a game that wasn't even as close as the score would indicate after the Vikings scored two late garbage time touchdowns.

Maybe most interestingly, the Vikings finished on a 1-5 run against the spread to end the season in 2022. Clearly oddsmakers have labeled the Vikings as slight favorites in this game, but everything about the spread, moneyline, and history of this matchup tells us this game is a true toss-up.

Packers Vikings Line: What The Moneyline Tells Us

Much like the spread, the moneyline (Vikings -115, Packers -105) shows that this should be an extremely even matchup between the two NFC North foes. 

The stakes couldn't be higher for either team, as the winner will keep their playoff hopes alive. Both teams desperately need a win, but expect a close matchup that could go in either direction.

Green Bay Packers Chances To Win vs Minnesota Vikings

The Packers are coming off a win, albeit a close one to a poor team, while the Vikings have dropped four of their last five games. The momentum certainly favors Green Bay. ESPN gives the Packers a 52.7% chance to win this matchup.

How The Packers Win vs Vikings

• 📈 Strength: Rashan Gary, home field advantage
• 📉 Weakness: Run defense, inexperience on offense, no Jaire Alexander

Last time these teams met, Matt LaFleur cited "too many mistakes" that led to their loss. Jordan Love threw 41 times against the Vikings, threw an interception and led the team in rushing with 34 yards. That's not going to get the job done. Getting Aaron Jones back into the lineup will be huge for the Packers and will take that pressure off Love. Last week, Jones rushed for 127 yards, balancing the offense nicely.

The Packers will have to overcome the loss of Jaire Alexander for this game, especially now that Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison are both in the lineup. Even though the Packers won't have Alexander, the defense is going up against a rookie QB making his first start in Jaren Hall, who has only attempted 10 passes in his career so far. Across their three previous starting QBs, the Vikings have 16 interceptions in 15 games.

The Packers don't have a particularly impressive sack rate (36 compared to the league-leading Ravens at 54), but the Vikings have allowed 39 all season, which ties for 19th worst in the league. Rashan Gary, who leads the Packers with 9 sacks, could have a big game against the rookie QB.

How The Vikings Win vs Packers

• 📈 Strength: WR room, home field advantage
• 📉 Weakness: Turnovers

The Vikings dominated the passing game in Week 8 behind Kirk Cousins. Though they won't have his veteran presence, they'll still have WRs K.J. Osborn and Jordan Addison, who combined for nearly 200 yards and a touchdown. The Vikings also have reigning Offensive Player of the Year Justin Jefferson, who they didn't have last time. 

Though the Vikings run game has struggled this season, they're facing the 30th-ranked defense in rush yards allowed in the Packers. If the Vikings can balance their pass game with Ty Chandler's run game, they may be able to exploit this mismatch.

Though Love has more experience now than he did in Week 8, the Vikings can still pressure him into mistakes. They rank tied for 12th in sacks this season (42), and the Packers' offensive line has been hit by injuries hard this season.

Packers Vikings Prop Bets

With so many new players to this matchup, it's worth digging into these matchup prop bets from DraftKings.

Packers Vikings Player Props

Packers Vikings Team Props

History of Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Games

The Vikings and Packers have been playing football against each other since 1961 and have played a total of 126 times in their history. The Packers lead the all-time series 65-58-3.

While the Packers vs Bears may be the rivalry that comes to mind for most people, ask any Packers fan and they'll tell you the biggest rivalry over the past couple decades has been against the Vikings. Throughout epic playoff battles and Brett Favre playing as a member of the Vikings, these two franchises and fan bases do not like each other. Fans of both teams have their games circled when the schedule comes out.

Packers Record vs Vikings

The Packers have a 65-58-3 record over the Minnesota Vikings in a rivalry that's been going on since 1961. The record has been extremely close over the past 10 years.

The rivalry has seen some impressive players through the course of the past few decades, including Aaron Rodgers, Brett Favre, Justin Jefferson, Adrian Peterson, Randy Moss, John Randle, Reggie White, Charles Woodson, Cris Carter, and Sterling Sharpe, just to name a few.

Maybe the most noteworthy event in the history of the rivalry was when Favre was signed by the Vikings after a messy divorce from the Packers two years prior. Vikings' Favre would face Rodgers and the Packers four times, splitting them 2-2.

🔥 MORE: Latest Packers Super Bowl Odds

All-Time Best Green Bay Packers Minnesota Vikings Games

These longtime rivals have had some epic moments over the years, but don't have a signature playoff matchup in a championship setting. Still, these three games below stood out as three of the iconic moments in the teams' histories.

Week 10, 2000 (Nov. 6)

"HE DID WHAT?!": The iconic call from Monday Night Football announcer Al Michaels after watching the replay of Antonio Freeman making an unbelievable circus catch to defeat the Minnesota Vikings 26-20 in overtime

The game was tightly contested all throughout the night, but tied 20-20 in overtime, Brett Favre hurled a pass downfield for Freeman. After everyone in the stadium had believed the ball fell incomplete, Freeman would get up off the grass and start running towards the end zone. The replays would confirm that Freeman did in fact catch the pass, and the Packers were the victors.

Week 8, 2009 (Nov. 1)

It's hard to pick which game felt more important: Brett Favre's first game against the Packers in Minnesota or his return to Lambeau Field to face his former team. Both games would result in a victory for Favre and the Vikings, but the return of Favre to Lambeau was must-watch TV. 

Favre would get booed coming out of the tunnel but he would have the last laugh as he threw 4 touchdowns as the Vikings would go on to defeat the Packers in Green Bay, 38-26.

NFC Wild Card Game (Jan. 9, 2005)

"That is a disgusting act by Randy Moss!"

Joe Buck would make the famous call after Randy Moss faux mooned Packers fans following a touchdown catch. The game was the first ever matchup between the two rivals in a playoff setting as they faced off in the Wild Card round. The Vikings would defeat the Packers 31-17 and move on to the divisional round.

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Author

Andy Herman

@AndyHermanNFL

BetWisconsin NFL betting expert Andy Herman eats, sleeps and breathes Packers football. He's a Packers writer and podcaster, digging into Green Bay's odds 24/7, 365 days a year. He's bringing his Packers expertise to BetWisconsin all season long to keep WI bettors updated on the latest playoff chances and Super Bowl odds.