What are the Packers Playoff Chances?
The Packers playoff chances are 65.5%, according to DraftKings Sportsbook Wisconsin.
| ⬆️ Packers Playoff Chances | 65.5% Chance |
| ⬇️ Packers Miss Playoffs | 34.5% Chance |
| ⬆️ Packers Win Super Bowl | 0.7% Chance |
| ⬆️ Packers Win NFC | 1.6% Chance |
| ❌ Packers Win NFC North | N/A |
| ⬆️ NYT Playoff Simulator | 68% Chance |
| ⬆️ ESPN FPI | 63.5% Chance |
| ✅ Last Verified: | November 6, 2024 |
To better understand the Packers' chances, I used DraftKings Sportsbook to review the Packers' current odds to make the playoffs. From that you can use an odds converter to review how that equates to implied probability.
In addition to DraftKings, I'll also be keeping track of the New York Times Playoff Simulator and the ESPN Football Power Index (FPI) throughout the course of the season. These are great indicators of where the Packers stand as well.
The Packers Super Bowl odds put them at 16th among the remaining 20 NFL teams.
Do Packers Have a Chance to Make the Playoffs?
Yes, the Packers still have a chance to make the playoffs. Green Bay's chances now sit at 65.5% after their 8-8 record through 16 games.
The Packers currently hold the No. 7 seed in the NFC and can get in the playoffs with a win over the Bears.
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Packers Playoff Chances Week-by-Week
The Packers will enter Week 18 with a 65.5% chance to make the playoffs. We'll be keeping track of the probability as the season progresses and update their odds week-by-week.
The Packers opened the season with a 37.7% chance to make the playoffs, which ranked them 11th overall in the NFC.
Packers Playoff Chances: Key Updates November 2024
I'll be tracking any roster developments and breaking news as it happens, so make sure to bookmark this page for reference and you can follow all the developing Packers news throughout the course of the season:
- 📅 Dec. 27: The Packers suspend Jaire Alexander for one game after he crashed the team's coin toss vs. Carolina.
- 📅 Dec. 17: Aaron Jones and Eric Stokes returned to the lineup in a limited capacity.
- 📅 Dec. 11: RB AJ Dillon suffers a broken thumb vs. the Giants.
- 📅 Dec. 5: Green Bay claims CB David Long Jr. off waivers from the Panthers to bolster the secondary.
- 📅 Dec. 2: Veteran S Darnell Savage is activated off of IR and starts in Week 13.
- 📅 Nov. 22: Rookie TE Luke Musgrave is placed on IR with a lacerated kidney.
- 📅 Nov. 21: RB Patrick Taylor is signed off the Patriots practice squad, and the Packers re-sign James Robinson amid RB injuries.
- 📅 Nov. 15: CB Kyu Blu Kelly is claimed off of waivers from the Seattle Seahawks.
- 📅 Oct. 31: CB Rasul Douglas is traded to the Buffalo Bills.
- 📅 Oct. 30: LB Rashan Gary signs a four-year, $107M contract extension with the Packers.
- 📅 Oct. 25: CB Eric Stokes and S Darnell Savage were placed on injured reserve.
- 📅 Sept. 28: OL David Bakhtiari placed on injured reserve and reports indicate he may miss the rest of the 2023 season.
- 📅 May 12: The Packers sign safety Jonathan Owens.
- 📅️ May 3: QB Jordan Love signs a one-year contract extension through 2024.
- 📅 April 27: Green Bay selects Iowa defensive end Lukas Van Ness in the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft to help its defense.
- 📅 April 24: Green Bay trades Aaron Rodgers to the Jets over a month after Rodgers stated he wanted to be traded to New York.
Packers Playoff Chances: Schedule & Betting Lines
Going into the 2023 season, it was tough to gauge the Packers playoff chances. For the first time in three decades, the Packers were embarking on a season without either Aaron Rodgers or Brett Favre at the helm. To make things more complicated, the Packers were coming off their worst season in the Matt LaFleur era, missing the playoffs for the first time.
🏈 MORE: Packers vs Lions Odds
Key Contributors Towards Packers Playoff Chances
Jordan Love is looking more and more like the franchise quarterback in Green Bay. If the Packers have found their long-term QB in Love, that will be considered a win for this season despite anything else that happens the rest of the way.
His No. 1 target this season has been WR Romeo Doubs, who leads the team in touchdowns. He's also the only Packers pass-catcher who has played in all 16 games this season. Injuries hit the Packers hard this season, which didn't help their playoff chances.
RBs Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon lead the team in rushing, but neither has been healthy for the full season. Love has picked up some of those rushing yards, and he accounts for just under 14% of team rushing hards this season.
Rashan Gary leads the team with 9 sacks this season. He figures to be an important piece of the Packers defense for years to come, signing a contract extension midseason.
Leading the charge for the Packers is head coach Matt LaFleur, who is 18-2 in December all time.
Where Can I Bet on the Packers to Make the Playoffs?
While sports betting isn't legal in Wisconsin yet, there are two in-state casinos that do have sports books: Oneida Casino in Green Bay and Potawatomi Casino in Milwaukee.
If you are in a state where you are able to legally gamble, you can easily bet on Packers props at BetMGM, Caesars Sportsbook, FanDuel Sportsbook, or DraftKings Sportsbook.
Wisconsin sportsbook apps aren't super high on the Packers right now, so you can get great odds on many of your favorite Packers' prop bets.
Looking Ahead: Packers Playoff Picture
The Packers have the easiest path to the playoffs in the NFL: win and you're in. They are favored to beat the Bears in Week 18, which would grant them a wild-card seed in the playoffs. Depending on what happens around the rest of the league, they could get either the No. 6 or 7 seed in the NFC.
Are the Packers Out of the Playoff Picture?
No, the Packers are not out of the playoff picture. They currently have a 65.5% chance to make the playoffs.
Packers Playoff Picture vs. NFC North
The Packers overcame their biggest challenge to getting into the playoffs when they beat the Vikings in Week 17. Their matchup was essentially an elimination game, and the Packers won soundly. The Vikings playoff chances are now down to 4.3%.
Meanwhile, the Lions already clinched a playoff spot by virtue of the NFC North title. This is the first time the Lions have won their division since 1993.
The Bears were eliminated from playoff contention in Week 17.
Packers Playoff Picture vs. NFC Standings
The Packers currently sit at 8-8 and hold the No. 7 spot in the NFC due to current playoff tiebreakers. The 49ers, Eagles, Lions, Cowboys and Rams have already clinched playoff spots, which leaves two remaining seeds.
The Packers have been steadily moving up the playoff picture rankings, going from No. 11 three weeks ago to No. 7.
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Where Do the Packers Rank in the NFC Wild Card Playoff Picture?
The Packers are the top team to get a wild-card seed at this point. The only way the Packers can get into the playoffs now is as a wild-card team. They have a 50% chance to get the No. 6 seed and an 18% chance to get the No. 7 seed.
Can the Packers Get the No. 1 Seed in Playoff Picture?
No, the Packers cannot get the No. 1 seed in the NFC playoff picture. The 49ers clinched the No. 1 seed already.
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Packers Playoff Picture Outlook & Predictions
The Packers have been peaking at the perfect time to close out their season, winning five of their last seven games. Unless they have a total meltdown vs. the Bears (in which case, I'd argue they wouldn't survive long in the playoffs anyway), we'll see this team in the playoffs. I'm fascinated to see who they could match up against in the first round.
Who to Root for if You're a Packers Fan
If the Packers should lose, fans should root for the following outcomes in Week 18:
- Lions over Vikings
- 49ers over Rams
- Falcons over Saints
- Panthers over Bucs
- Cardinals over Seahawks
If the Packers and 49ers win, the Packers will get the No. 6 seed in the NFC and play the No. 3 seed, which should be a better matchup for the Packers.
🏈 MORE: Packers vs Vikings Odds
Green Bay Packers Playoffs FAQ
Author
Shannon Lane is a commercial editor for Gambling.com Group and fact-checker for BetWisconsin.com. She's spent the last decade working in sports media, including at NFL Media in digital content programming and strategy, and as a reporter and fact-checker at Sports Illustrated. She graduated from Northwestern University with a concentration in journalism where she covered football, lacrosse, basketball and volleyball.